Sha Tin · 2019-11-17
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly PC-/B2 2.03.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 1 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | C P POWER Closed strongly V/TT G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 3 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HO HO FEEL Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER B/H K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MISTER MONTE CP K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY Led early H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | WON WON TOO CP1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD DAYS B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 2 | 8.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FULL POWER XB U Rispoli · R Gibson | U Rispoli | R Gibson | 12 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART BABY V C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 4 | 81.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-17 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ABOVE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with C P POWER second and HO HO FEEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ABOVE | 44.8% | 2.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 9.9% | 10.14 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | WON WON TOO | 7.1% | 14.15 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | HO HO FEEL | 6.9% | 14.55 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 6.6% | 15.22 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | C P POWER | 6.4% | 15.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 5.7% | 17.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL POWER | 4.5% | 22.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.4% | 29.47 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART BABY | 2.5% | 40.01 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 1.3% | 78.10 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.0% | 100.34 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 19.5
PLACE
3 17
8 35.5
12 12
QUINELLA
8,12 134
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 95.5
3,12 27.5
8,12 47.5
TIERCE
12,8,3 902
TRIO
3,8,12 194
FIRST 4
3,8,10,12 515
QUARTET
12,8,3,10 7,346
1ST DOUBLE
9/8 110
9/12 78
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —