Sha Tin · 2019-11-17
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B 1.21.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 6 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET B-/XB/CP2 A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FOLLOW ME Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR ROOM H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 4 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Closed strongly CP-/H-/XB1/TT- G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH Closed strongly H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GREEN MOUNTAIN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING DELIGHT B1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY R Bayliss · C H Yip | R Bayliss | C H Yip | 9 | 164.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GRATWICK Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HOME MADE B1/TT1 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 222.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GIFT OF LIFELINE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by A T Millard, won by 1/2, with STAR OF YUEN LONG second and PRIVATE ROCKET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FOLLOW ME | 24.6% | 4.06 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 13.5% | 7.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DELIGHT | 9.0% | 11.14 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 7.4% | 13.58 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | WAR ROOM | 7.1% | 14.14 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 5.9% | 16.81 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 5.5% | 18.14 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | HOME MADE | 4.2% | 23.75 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 4.2% | 23.85 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 3.2% | 31.51 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GRATWICK | 2.1% | 46.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | GREEN MOUNTAIN | 2.0% | 49.78 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.6% | 60.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 27
PLACE
5 32
6 28.5
14 15
QUINELLA
6,14 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 194
5,14 64
6,14 64.5
TIERCE
14,6,5 2,325
TRIO
5,6,14 465
FIRST 4
3,5,6,14 1,603
QUARTET
14,6,5,3 25,861
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
3/6 116.5
3/14 256