Sha Tin · 2019-11-17
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICCONI EXPRESS Closed strongly P 1.47.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEFANO Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 13 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT G van Niekerk · A S Cruz | G van Niekerk | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVVY SIX Closed strongly H/PC/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 25.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly H/P/TT A Sanna · L Ho | A Sanna | L Ho | 12 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CORDYCEPS B R Bayliss · K W Lui | R Bayliss | K W Lui | 6 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RUTHVEN Led early H/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ENRICHMENT B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY B N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 10 | 61.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly PC-/XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN SR-/XB/B2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO B1/H1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE B S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-17 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NICCONI EXPRESS, ridden by C Schofield and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with CHEFANO second and HELENE LEADINGSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite TIANCHI MONSTER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEFANO | 15.9% | 6.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 13.1% | 7.62 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | THE HULK | 12.4% | 8.07 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO | 8.3% | 11.99 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS | 7.9% | 12.60 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 7.8% | 12.83 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.54 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 5.7% | 17.61 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | RUTHVEN | 5.4% | 18.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SAVVY SIX | 5.3% | 18.91 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 4.0% | 25.14 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 3.3% | 30.51 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 2.3% | 42.57 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 1.6% | 61.45 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 51.5
PLACE
4 31.5
12 20
13 23.5
QUINELLA
12,13 146
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 108
4,13 95.5
12,13 54
TIERCE
12,13,4 1,704
TRIO
4,12,13 399
FIRST 4
1,4,12,13 1,160
QUARTET
12,13,4,1 18,874
3 PICK 1
A3 20.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/4,12,13 52,751
9TH DOUBLE
11/12 230
11/13 32
SIX UP
6,14/2,5/1,8/4,9,14/3,11/12,13 3,349
14/2/1/9,14/11/12 23,373
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9,14/11/12 860
9,14/11/13 113