Sha Tin · 2019-11-17
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE Led early B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FUN TIMES Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 3.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL SR L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 5 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS Closed strongly B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 8 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 207.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 14 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART ROCKET CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 6 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 12 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | VIGOR CHAMP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 62.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ULTIMATE GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/2, with SUNSHINE UNIVERSE second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite FUN TIMES finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FUN TIMES | 22.7% | 4.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER | 10.2% | 9.77 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS | 9.4% | 10.65 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART ROCKET | 8.9% | 11.28 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 8.6% | 11.68 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 8.4% | 11.88 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 7.6% | 13.23 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 6.7% | 15.00 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.89 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL | 3.0% | 33.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.9% | 33.90 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 2.8% | 35.77 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | VIGOR CHAMP | 1.9% | 52.92 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 1.7% | 59.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 71.5
PLACE
3 21.5
7 44
14 31
QUINELLA
3,7 602.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 187
3,14 129
7,14 245.5
TIERCE
3,7,14 10,982
TRIO
3,7,14 1,465
FIRST 4
3,7,9,14 1,214
QUARTET
3,7,14,9 40,983
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,12,14/3,7,14 427,723
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5
3RD DOUBLE
14/3 687
14/7 178.5