Sha Tin · 2019-11-17
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHINING GEM CP 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B1/H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOCKHEED B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEERITE DRAGON L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 5 | 129.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BE READY H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 4 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 6 | 7.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER H1 R Bayliss · R Gibson | R Bayliss | R Gibson | 7 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TAILOR MADE H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 342.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 14 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HERCULES M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 109.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | HANDSOME BO BO CP- A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 13.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | GRADE ONE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 23.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SHINING GEM, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with BIG FORTUNE second and HIGH RISE SOLDIER third. The 2.9 favourite BIG FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LOCKHEED | 19.1% | 5.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 13.0% | 7.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | BE READY | 10.3% | 9.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 7.7% | 13.06 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.79 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GRADE ONE | 6.3% | 15.96 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | HANDSOME BO BO | 3.8% | 26.51 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.8% | 26.57 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.9% | 51.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HERCULES | 1.3% | 75.12 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 0.8% | 119.73 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SEERITE DRAGON | 0.7% | 136.05 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 69.5
PLACE
8 121.5
12 14
14 27.5
QUINELLA
12,14 128.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,12 295.5
8,14 637.5
12,14 55.5
TIERCE
14,12,8 13,070
TRIO
8,12,14 2,514
FIRST 4
6,8,12,14 2,486
QUARTET
14,12,8,6 87,002
2ND DOUBLE
12/12 11
12/14 260
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —