沙田 · 2019-11-17
第 3場
2019-11-17沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SHINING GEM勝出，贏出1-1/4。BIG FORTUNE獲得亞軍；HIGH RISE SOLDIER獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門BIG FORTUNE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SHINING GEM CP 1.08.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B1/H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | LOCKHEED B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SEERITE DRAGON L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 5 | 129.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BE READY H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 4 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 6 | 7.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BLOTTING PAPER H1 R Bayliss · R Gibson | R Bayliss | R Gibson | 7 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TAILOR MADE H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 342.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 14 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HERCULES M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 109.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO CP- A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 13.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | GRADE ONE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 23.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BIG FORTUNE | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | LOCKHEED | 19.1% | 5.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 13.0% | 7.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | BE READY | 10.3% | 9.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | SHINING GEM | 7.7% | 13.06 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | HELLO BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.79 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | GRADE ONE | 6.3% | 15.96 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO | 3.8% | 26.51 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.8% | 26.57 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.9% | 51.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | HERCULES | 1.3% | 75.12 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | TAILOR MADE | 0.8% | 119.73 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | SEERITE DRAGON | 0.7% | 136.05 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 69.5
PLACE
8 121.5
12 14
14 27.5
QUINELLA
12,14 128.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,12 295.5
8,14 637.5
12,14 55.5
TIERCE
14,12,8 13,070
TRIO
8,12,14 2,514
FIRST 4
6,8,12,14 2,486
QUARTET
14,12,8,6 87,002
2ND DOUBLE
12/12 11
12/14 260
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —