沙田 · 2019-11-17
第 8場
2019-11-17沙田第8場，Group 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、J Moore訓練的AETHERO勝出，贏出2。HOT KING PRAWN獲得亞軍；BEAT THE CLOCK獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | AETHERO 1.07.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 9 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | FULL OF BEAUTY C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 14 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER B S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 3 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | D B PIN C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 4 | 48.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | IVICTORY TT A Sanna · J Size | A Sanna | J Size | 2 | 104.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MR STUNNING H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 12 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | THANKS FOREVER CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 13 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | REGENCY LEGEND TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | LITTLE GIANT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 30.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PREMIERE SR M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 5 | 161.0 | 15-3/4 |
| — | 6 | PAKISTAN STAR V1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 15.0 | — |
| — | 9 | PINGWU SPARK K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | REGENCY LEGEND | 31.2% | 3.21 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | AETHERO | 13.2% | 7.57 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN | 6.8% | 14.63 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MR STUNNING | 5.9% | 16.99 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | THANKS FOREVER | 5.4% | 18.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER | 5.0% | 19.88 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | LITTLE GIANT | 4.7% | 21.49 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | D B PIN | 2.9% | 34.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | PREMIERE | 2.0% | 50.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | IVICTORY | 1.7% | 59.45 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 28
PLACE
1 26.5
4 33
14 15.5
QUINELLA
4,14 203
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 154.5
1,14 57.5
4,14 74.5
TIERCE
14,4,1 2,849
TRIO
1,4,14 690
FIRST 4
1,4,10,14 2,419
QUARTET
14,4,1,10 38,386
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/4 65
1/9,14 51.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B2 22
B3 —