Sha Tin · 2019-11-23
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-23 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with LUCKY HERO second and BEAUTY RUSH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.21.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY HERO Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY RUSH Led early B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY FUN B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | KING OF HEARTS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOLD CHEST CP-/H-/TT A Sanna · R Gibson | A Sanna | R Gibson | 3 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | YOO YOO KING Closed strongly C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 14 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPERICH Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 8 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 93.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 12 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TAKING AIM XB R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 13 | 43.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING H L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 10 | 161.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | MAGIC LEGEND CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 4 | 31.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 31.2% | 3.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HAPPY FUN | 20.9% | 4.79 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.8% | 12.86 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | LUCKY HERO | 7.6% | 13.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | YOO YOO KING | 5.5% | 18.10 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 4.4% | 22.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | MAGIC LEGEND | 4.1% | 24.69 | 14 |
| 8 | 10 | KING OF HEARTS | 4.0% | 24.76 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPERICH | 4.0% | 25.27 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | TAKING AIM | 3.4% | 29.70 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.5% | 39.94 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | GOLD CHEST | 2.2% | 45.30 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.6% | 60.78 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 1.0% | 105.10 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 19
PLACE
1 12.5
8 22.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
1,8 91
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 37.5
1,12 46
8,12 117.5
TIERCE
1,8,12 948
TRIO
1,8,12 237
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 253
QUARTET
1,8,12,7 3,892
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,8,12 108,654
9TH DOUBLE
4/1 148.5
4/8 141
SIX UP
2,7/2,11/8,11/4,9/1,4/1,8 2,048
7/2/11/9/4/1 29,436
4 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
9/4/1 675
9/4/8 683