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Sha Tin · 2019-11-23

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.21.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 1.9 1-1/4
2 0 LUCKY HERO Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum 1 10.0 1-1/4
3 0 BEAUTY RUSH Led early B Z Purton · J Size 9 10.0 2
4 0 HAPPY FUN B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 11 4.5 2-1/4
5 0 KING OF HEARTS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 2 23.0 3-1/4
6 0 GOLD CHEST CP-/H-/TT A Sanna · R Gibson 3 45.0 3-1/2
7 0 YOO YOO KING Closed strongly C Schofield · A T Millard 14 26.0 4-1/4
8 0 SUPERICH Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · F C Lor 8 33.0 4-3/4
9 0 RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip 6 93.0 5-1/4
10 0 LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris 7 27.0 5-3/4
11 0 DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT U Rispoli · Y S Tsui 12 34.0 8-3/4
12 0 TAKING AIM XB R Bayliss · J Moore 13 43.0 9-1/2
13 0 CANTSTOPTHEFEELING H L Hewitson · K H Ting 10 161.0 10-1/4
14 0 MAGIC LEGEND CP M Chadwick · J Moore 4 31.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-23 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with LUCKY HERO second and BEAUTY RUSH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. LUCKY HERO+1.25L3. BEAUTY RUSH+2L4. HAPPY FUN+2.25L5. KING OF HEARTS+3.25L6. GOLD CHEST+3.5L7. YOO YOO KING+4.25L8. SUPERICH+4.75L9. RACING FIGHTER+5.25L10. LOBO'S LEGEND+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (31.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 31.2% 3.21 1
2 0 HAPPY FUN 20.9% 4.79 4
3 0 BEAUTY RUSH 7.8% 12.86 3
4 0 LUCKY HERO 7.6% 13.15 2
5 0 YOO YOO KING 5.5% 18.10 7
6 0 LOBO'S LEGEND 4.4% 22.93 10
7 0 MAGIC LEGEND 4.1% 24.69 14
8 0 KING OF HEARTS 4.0% 24.76 5
9 0 SUPERICH 4.0% 25.27 8
10 0 TAKING AIM 3.4% 29.70 12
11 0 RACING FIGHTER 2.5% 39.94 9
12 0 GOLD CHEST 2.2% 45.30 6
13 0 DRAGON GENERAL 1.6% 60.78 11
14 0 CANTSTOPTHEFEELING 1.0% 105.10 13
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonHAPPY FUNBEAUTY RUSHLUCKY HEROYOO YOO KINGLOBO'S LEGENDMAGIC LEGENDKING OF HEARTSSUPERICHTAKING AIMRACING FIGHTERGOLD CHESTDRAGON GENERALCANTSTOPTHEFEELING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 19

PLACE

1 12.5

8 22.5

12 28.5

QUINELLA

1,8 91

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 37.5

1,12 46

8,12 117.5

TIERCE

1,8,12 948

TRIO

1,8,12 237

FIRST 4

1,7,8,12 253

QUARTET

1,8,12,7 3,892

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,12/1,8,12 108,654

9TH DOUBLE

4/1 148.5

4/8 141

SIX UP

2,7/2,11/8,11/4,9/1,4/1,8 2,048

7/2/11/9/4/1 29,436

4 [C Y Ho] —

TREBLE

9/4/1 675

9/4/8 683