Sha Tin · 2019-11-23
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H 1.33.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 11 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | EXTRA BRUT Closed strongly TT1 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 7 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly B/H M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 8 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED WARRIOR Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 14 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENCOURAGING B/TT A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY R Bayliss · J Size | R Bayliss | J Size | 3 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE H-/SR U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 6 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF Closed strongly H-/TT2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 13 | 32.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON Led early V-/B2/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 5 | 9.9 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | GOOD STANDING B/XB N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 2 | 9.2 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-23 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FAST MOST FURIOUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with HARMONY VICTORY second and EXTRA BRUT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HARMONY VICTORY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 22.9% | 4.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 13.8% | 7.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 11.7% | 8.57 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 9.8% | 10.23 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | ENCOURAGING | 7.7% | 12.95 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD STANDING | 7.0% | 14.34 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE | 6.6% | 15.23 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON | 3.6% | 27.49 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF | 3.6% | 27.99 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 3.4% | 29.18 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | EXTRA BRUT | 3.4% | 29.53 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | RED WARRIOR | 3.3% | 30.53 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 1.7% | 59.45 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY | 1.6% | 63.67 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 48
PLACE
8 16
11 19.5
13 75
QUINELLA
8,11 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 43.5
8,13 271
11,13 352.5
TIERCE
11,8,13 6,043
TRIO
8,11,13 1,455
FIRST 4
8,11,12,13 4,832
QUARTET
11,8,13,12 98,373
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,11/8,11,13 82,438
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
6TH DOUBLE
2/8 28.5
2/11 368.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 15.5
B3 —
B1 —
B2 —