Sha Tin · 2019-12-15
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly CP- 1.22.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 73.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUREWIN Closed strongly B N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 2 | 9.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP Closed strongly TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 13 | 100.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG BULLY B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 12 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 10 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR B-/XB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ROCKAGE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 11 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY STORM Closed strongly B2/H2 M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER FUN Led early H H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 3 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT B/TT C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 77.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-15 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VICTORIOUS LEADER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-1/4, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and SUREWIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GREAT HARVEST finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BIG BULLY | 19.2% | 5.21 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 16.3% | 6.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST | 11.8% | 8.48 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS | 9.0% | 11.09 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SUREWIN | 7.9% | 12.64 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 7.7% | 12.97 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP | 6.9% | 14.52 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR | 5.8% | 17.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER FUN | 4.7% | 21.21 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | ROCKAGE | 2.7% | 36.71 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 2.1% | 46.63 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY STORM | 2.0% | 49.59 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 2.0% | 50.01 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | GALAXY RACER | 1.8% | 56.80 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 36.5
PLACE
8 155
9 28
10 16
QUINELLA
8,10 1,341.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 770
8,10 410
9,10 57
TIERCE
10,8,9 13,516
TRIO
8,9,10 2,536
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 5,509
QUARTET
10,8,9,3 120,385
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 454.5
1/10 188
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A2 —
A3 —