Sha Tin · 2019-12-15
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD Closed strongly CP/XB/TT 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 2 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 3 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 4 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 14 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ADONIS H C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE Closed strongly H J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 9 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DESTIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.4 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE H/XB A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC BOY K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 159.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | OLD HAVANA Closed strongly P H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 319.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING B-/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 13 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PLIKCLONE H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 50.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SPRINT FORWARD, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with MIGHTY GIANT second and JOYFUL HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 24.9% | 4.02 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | DESTIN | 15.8% | 6.32 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING | 12.9% | 7.74 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 12.7% | 7.88 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ADONIS | 7.3% | 13.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 6.6% | 15.13 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 6.0% | 16.60 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 4.7% | 21.33 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PLIKCLONE | 2.7% | 37.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 2.5% | 40.12 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FANTASTIC BOY | 2.0% | 49.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | OLD HAVANA | 1.1% | 91.48 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 0.9% | 115.90 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 43.5
PLACE
5 66.5
9 21
11 16
QUINELLA
5,11 655.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 221
5,11 195
9,11 53
TIERCE
11,5,9 6,294
TRIO
5,9,11 982
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 3,365
QUARTET
11,5,9,10 71,815
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 28
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 538
12/7,11 335