Sha Tin · 2019-12-15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-15 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT MATCH, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with JOYFUL TRINITY second and DECRYPT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PERFECT MATCH Wire to wire B/TT 1.20.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | JOYFUL TRINITY Closed strongly M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | DECRYPT Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | BEAUTY RUSH Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERICH Closed strongly SR/TT T H So · F C Lor | T H So | F C Lor | 4 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly TT1 H N Wong · J Moore | H N Wong | J Moore | 3 | 99.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | TAKING AIM XB- L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 8 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | YOO YOO KING S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 5 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 12 | 132.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 58.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD V- C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 14 | 163.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | SUNSET WATCH XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 344.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 10 | 36.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PERFECT MATCH | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | BEAUTY RUSH | 23.7% | 4.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO | 13.7% | 7.30 | 9 |
| 4 | 14 | YOO YOO KING | 7.4% | 13.51 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | DECRYPT | 7.2% | 13.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.01 | 14 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPERICH | 4.4% | 22.66 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | JOYFUL TRINITY | 3.8% | 26.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL | 2.9% | 34.49 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | NOBLE STEED | 2.1% | 47.44 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | TAKING AIM | 2.0% | 50.40 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | SAVVY NINE | 1.4% | 69.54 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.4% | 71.74 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | SUNSET WATCH | 1.1% | 89.42 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 22
PLACE
1 27.5
3 65.5
9 12
QUINELLA
3,9 371.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 410
1,9 45.5
3,9 117
TIERCE
9,3,1 4,487
TRIO
1,3,9 1,305
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 483
QUARTET
9,3,1,11 13,640
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 59.5
4/9 30