Sha Tin · 2020-01-27
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GREAT TREASURE, ridden by T Piccone and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with SAM'S LOVE second and KING DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite BETTER CHOICE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly 1.22.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 7.2 | N |
| 4 | 13 | IRON KING Closed strongly A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 10 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | BETTER CHOICE K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO Closed strongly XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 147.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | YES WE CAN XB1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FORTUNE BRILLIANT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 13 | 286.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SNOW AIRJET B1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 2 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | LOTUS BREEZE Closed strongly B/XB/TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 14 | 158.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE Led early P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PRO FIT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 14 |
| 2 | 8 | KING DRAGON | 13.5% | 7.39 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | BETTER CHOICE | 13.4% | 7.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | SAM'S LOVE | 12.2% | 8.21 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE BRILLIANT | 11.7% | 8.56 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | SPRINT FORWARD | 10.6% | 9.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | IRON KING | 5.0% | 19.96 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.7% | 21.35 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.8% | 36.35 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | YES WE CAN | 2.7% | 37.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | SNOW AIRJET | 2.7% | 37.32 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME | 1.7% | 59.37 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | LOTUS BREEZE | 1.1% | 94.02 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | COPARTNER ERA | 1.0% | 103.87 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 65
PLACE
1 22
4 41.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
1,4 435.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 128
1,8 84
4,8 172
TIERCE
1,4,8 5,620
TRIO
1,4,8 992
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 1,766
QUARTET
1,4,8,13 38,993
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 579
11/4 236