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Sha Tin · 2020-01-27

Race 8

4YO GOOD 1600m Course B+2 9 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MORE THAN THIS second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.33.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 1.8 1-1/4
2 4 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly R Moore · K W Lui 9 4.4 1-1/4
3 2 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P-/B1/TT K Teetan · J Size 8 15.0 2-3/4
4 3 BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · J Size 6 3.8 4-1/4
5 8 STAR PERFORMANCE H-/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 1 27.0 4-1/2
6 7 BUDDIES Led early TT K C Leung · J Moore 5 110.0 4-1/2
7 6 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 3 71.0 4-3/4
8 5 DECRYPT TT1 S De Sousa · F C Lor 2 25.0 6-1/2
9 9 AWE XB N Callan · J Moore 7 260.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY2. MORE THAN THIS+1.25L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.75L4. BEAUTY LEGACY+4.25L5. STAR PERFORMANCE+4.5L6. BUDDIES+4.5L7. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+4.75L8. DECRYPT+6.5L9. AWE+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (30.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY 30.4% 3.29 1
2 3 BEAUTY LEGACY 20.7% 4.83 4
3 4 MORE THAN THIS 16.7% 6.00 2
4 5 DECRYPT 11.2% 8.96 8
5 7 BUDDIES 7.1% 14.16 6
6 8 STAR PERFORMANCE 5.6% 17.86 5
7 2 CHAMPION'S WAY 4.6% 21.54 3
8 9 AWE 2.0% 50.69 9
9 6 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.8% 55.16 7
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonBEAUTY LEGACYMORE THAN THISDECRYPTBUDDIESSTAR PERFORMANCECHAMPION'S WAYAWEPLAYA DEL PUENTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 11

2 28

4 12.5

QUINELLA

1,4 38.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 38

1,4 19

2,4 68

TIERCE

1,4,2 280

TRIO

1,2,4 119

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 37

QUARTET

1,4,2,3 485

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

9>4,5,14/1,2,4 1,654

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 18

7TH DOUBLE

5,14/1 57

5,14/4 17

WINNING TRAINER

B3

B4

B1 12.5

B2