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Sha Tin · 2020-01-27

Race 8

4YO GOOD 1600m Course B+2 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 1.8 1-1/4
2 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly R Moore · K W Lui 9 4.4 1-1/4
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P-/B1/TT K Teetan · J Size 8 15.0 2-3/4
4 0 BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · J Size 6 3.8 4-1/4
5 0 STAR PERFORMANCE H-/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 1 27.0 4-1/2
6 0 BUDDIES Led early TT K C Leung · J Moore 5 110.0 4-1/2
7 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 3 71.0 4-3/4
8 0 DECRYPT TT1 S De Sousa · F C Lor 2 25.0 6-1/2
9 0 AWE XB N Callan · J Moore 7 260.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MORE THAN THIS second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. MORE THAN THIS+1.25L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.75L4. BEAUTY LEGACY+4.25L5. STAR PERFORMANCE+4.5L6. BUDDIES+4.5L7. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+4.75L8. DECRYPT+6.5L9. AWE+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (30.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 30.4% 3.29 1
2 0 BEAUTY LEGACY 20.7% 4.83 4
3 0 MORE THAN THIS 16.7% 6.00 2
4 0 DECRYPT 11.2% 8.96 8
5 0 BUDDIES 7.1% 14.16 6
6 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 5.6% 17.86 5
7 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 4.6% 21.54 3
8 0 AWE 2.0% 50.69 9
9 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.8% 55.16 7
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonBEAUTY LEGACYMORE THAN THISDECRYPTBUDDIESSTAR PERFORMANCECHAMPION'S WAYAWEPLAYA DEL PUENTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 11

2 28

4 12.5

QUINELLA

1,4 38.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 38

1,4 19

2,4 68

TIERCE

1,4,2 280

TRIO

1,2,4 119

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 37

QUARTET

1,4,2,3 485

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

9>4,5,14/1,2,4 1,654

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 18

7TH DOUBLE

5,14/1 57

5,14/4 17

WINNING TRAINER

B4 —

B2 —

B3 —

B1 12.5