Sha Tin · 2020-01-27
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WELLINGTON 1.09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 10 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.1 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.4 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLONEL B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HERO STAR C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 123.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ARDENODE TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 303.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 14 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION J Spencer · C H Yip | J Spencer | C H Yip | 8 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE B1/XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 101.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 9.9 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BLINK OF A SECOND H/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 323.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 13 | 223.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | ERA KING M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 355.0 | 28 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 3, with PING HAI BRAVO second and KA YING EXCELLENT third. The 2.1 favourite PING HAI BRAVO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO | 17.7% | 5.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 16.3% | 6.12 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 13.3% | 7.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 12.3% | 8.13 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | HERO STAR | 12.1% | 8.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | COLONEL | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 5.4% | 18.45 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 4.5% | 22.40 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 2.9% | 35.02 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 2.3% | 42.60 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ERA KING | 2.2% | 44.65 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 2.1% | 47.68 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | ARDENODE | 0.7% | 144.05 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | BLINK OF A SECOND | 0.6% | 177.60 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 59
PLACE
6 18.5
8 12
11 23
QUINELLA
8,11 98
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 31
6,11 102.5
8,11 40.5
TIERCE
11,8,6 1,714
TRIO
6,8,11 193
FIRST 4
6,7,8,11 368
QUARTET
11,8,6,7 11,633
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/6,8,11 11,550
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 38
4TH DOUBLE
1/8 10.5
1/11 282