Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-01-27

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 2000m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 2.01.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 8 3.7 HD
2 0 TASHIDELEK Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore 11 4.7 HD
3 0 RED ELYSEES B S De Sousa · K L Man 3 7.8 1-1/4
4 0 CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · C S Shum 1 7.8 2
5 0 SEERITE DRAGON Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris 7 39.0 3-1/2
6 0 GOOD OMEN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 25.0 5-1/4
7 0 GAYSON Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · J Moore 9 13.0 5-1/2
8 0 CROWN AVENUE V T H So · C H Yip 5 165.0 6
9 0 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 12 4.8 6-1/4
10 0 GIANT TURTLE SR/TT K H Chan · A T Millard 10 22.0 10-1/4
11 0 PARTY TOGETHER Led early H T Mo · L Ho 6 15.0 11-1/4
12 0 WIN WIN B M L Yeung · T P Yung 2 104.0 11-1/4
13 0 WIND GLIDER B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 14 282.0 11-3/4
— 0 VINCY A Badel · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with TASHIDELEK second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOD OF DRAGON—2. TASHIDELEK+0.2L3. RED ELYSEES+1.25L4. CLEMENT LEGEND+2L5. SEERITE DRAGON+3.5L6. GOOD OMEN+5.25L7. GAYSON+5.5L8. CROWN AVENUE+6L9. WORLD FAMOUS+6.25L10. GIANT TURTLE+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOD OF DRAGON (21.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOD OF DRAGON 21.7% 4.61 1
2 0 TASHIDELEK 17.9% 5.60 2
3 0 CLEMENT LEGEND 13.6% 7.36 4
4 0 WORLD FAMOUS 11.1% 8.97 9
5 0 PARTY TOGETHER 9.5% 10.55 11
6 0 RED ELYSEES 8.2% 12.18 3
7 0 GAYSON 4.7% 21.40 7
8 0 SEERITE DRAGON 4.6% 21.53 5
9 0 GOOD OMEN 2.3% 42.62 6
10 0 GIANT TURTLE 2.3% 42.69 10
11 0 CROWN AVENUE 1.6% 60.62 8
12 0 WIN WIN 1.5% 65.03 12
13 0 WIND GLIDER 0.8% 121.22 13
GOD OF DRAGON — wonTASHIDELEKCLEMENT LEGENDWORLD FAMOUSPARTY TOGETHERRED ELYSEESGAYSONSEERITE DRAGONGOOD OMENGIANT TURTLECROWN AVENUEWIN WINWIND GLIDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 37

PLACE

4 18

9 20.5

14 16

QUINELLA

4,14 97

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 66.5

4,14 37

9,14 52

TIERCE

14,4,9 841

TRIO

4,9,14 200

FIRST 4

3,4,9,14 306

QUARTET

14,4,9,3 5,541

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 21

All pools (3 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/4 66

1/5,14 204.5

TRIPLE TRIO

6,8,11/1,4,8/9>4,5,14 492,810

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

6,8,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 2,843