Sha Tin · 2020-01-27
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with TASHIDELEK second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 2.01.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.7 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 11 | 4.7 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | RED ELYSEES B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 1 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SEERITE DRAGON Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD OMEN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GAYSON Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | CROWN AVENUE V T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 5 | 165.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 4.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 10 | 22.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PARTY TOGETHER Led early H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 15.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WIN WIN B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | WIND GLIDER B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 282.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 5 | VINCY A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | GOD OF DRAGON | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | TASHIDELEK | 17.9% | 5.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 13.6% | 7.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS | 11.1% | 8.97 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTY TOGETHER | 9.5% | 10.55 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | RED ELYSEES | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | GAYSON | 4.7% | 21.40 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SEERITE DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.53 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD OMEN | 2.3% | 42.62 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE | 2.3% | 42.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.6% | 60.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | WIN WIN | 1.5% | 65.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | WIND GLIDER | 0.8% | 121.22 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 37
PLACE
4 18
9 20.5
14 16
QUINELLA
4,14 97
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 66.5
4,14 37
9,14 52
TIERCE
14,4,9 841
TRIO
4,9,14 200
FIRST 4
3,4,9,14 306
QUARTET
14,4,9,3 5,541
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
All pools (3 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 66
1/5,14 204.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,8,11/1,4,8/9>4,5,14 492,810
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 2,843