沙田 · 2020-01-27
第 7場
2020-01-27沙田第7場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的GOD OF DRAGON勝出，贏出HD。TASHIDELEK獲得亞軍；RED ELYSEES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | GOD OF DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT 2.01.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.7 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | TASHIDELEK 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 11 | 4.7 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | RED ELYSEES B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 1 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SEERITE DRAGON 後段發力 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD OMEN 後段發力 B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GAYSON 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | CROWN AVENUE V T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 5 | 165.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 4.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 10 | 22.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PARTY TOGETHER 早段領放 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 15.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WIN WIN B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | WIND GLIDER B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 282.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 5 | VINCY A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | GOD OF DRAGON | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | TASHIDELEK | 17.9% | 5.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 13.6% | 7.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS | 11.1% | 8.97 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTY TOGETHER | 9.5% | 10.55 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | RED ELYSEES | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | GAYSON | 4.7% | 21.40 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SEERITE DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.53 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD OMEN | 2.3% | 42.62 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE | 2.3% | 42.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.6% | 60.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | WIN WIN | 1.5% | 65.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | WIND GLIDER | 0.8% | 121.22 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 37
PLACE
4 18
9 20.5
14 16
QUINELLA
4,14 97
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 66.5
4,14 37
9,14 52
TIERCE
14,4,9 841
TRIO
4,9,14 200
FIRST 4
3,4,9,14 306
QUARTET
14,4,9,3 5,541
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
全部彩池（另 3 項）
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 66
1/5,14 204.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,8,11/1,4,8/9>4,5,14 492,810
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 2,843