沙田 · 2020-01-27
第 1場
2020-01-27沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的GENERAL TRUMP勝出，贏出NOSE。YEE CHEONG PEGASUS獲得亞軍；RED BRICK FIGHTER獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門YEE CHEONG PEGASUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP TT 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 5.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB1/TT1 A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 7 | 3.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B/TT- N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 9 | 36.0 | N |
| 4 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST B K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | FIRE AND GOLD B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 12 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SPICY REALLY B/H T Piccone · F C Lor | T Piccone | F C Lor | 4 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | NEVER BETTER B/TT B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 57.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | WHISTLE UP T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 14 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS B-/H/P1 L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 2 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | NICE FANDANGO H/XB C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FARM BUMPER TT- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | JUNZI H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE H K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 6 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | TARGET FINDER H/XB H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 166.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP | 18.6% | 5.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | FIRE AND GOLD | 16.5% | 6.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 12.4% | 8.07 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 11.7% | 8.54 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | SPICY REALLY | 8.8% | 11.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 7.4% | 13.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | NICE FANDANGO | 5.0% | 20.17 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | WHISTLE UP | 4.7% | 21.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | NEVER BETTER | 4.1% | 24.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | FARM BUMPER | 3.7% | 27.10 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 2.6% | 38.73 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | JUNZI | 2.0% | 51.00 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | TARGET FINDER | 1.6% | 64.50 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS | 1.1% | 88.71 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 54.5
PLACE
3 14.5
10 20.5
13 88.5
QUINELLA
3,10 113
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 47.5
3,13 225
10,13 251.5
TIERCE
10,3,13 5,137
TRIO
3,10,13 975
FIRST 4
1,3,10,13 2,282
QUARTET
10,3,13,1 47,932
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 28