沙田 · 2020-01-27
第 9場
2020-01-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的ASSIMILATE勝出，贏出N。SEATTLE CHOICE獲得亞軍；LOOKING GOOD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SEATTLE CHOICE 後段發力 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 12 | LOOKING GOOD B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 4 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | DRAGON GENERAL 後段發力 B-/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 39.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | LOBO'S LEGEND 後段發力 S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | 11 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TAKING AIM 早段領放 J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 123.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER 後段發力 TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 14 | 168.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | FALCON TURBO B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAUTY RUSH V1 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THE HULK XB/B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 J Spencer · K W Lui | J Spencer | K W Lui | 13 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | HANG'S DECISION B/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 111.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 8 | 104.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TAKING AIM | 22.9% | 4.37 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | ASSIMILATE | 17.7% | 5.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | FALCON TURBO | 12.6% | 7.91 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.1% | 14.08 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | LOOKING GOOD | 7.1% | 14.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.45 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | THE HULK | 5.1% | 19.45 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.2% | 23.69 | 14 |
| 10 | 2 | NOBLE STEED | 4.1% | 24.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.0% | 49.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.3% | 75.00 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.1% | 92.22 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | DRAGON GENERAL | 0.8% | 127.70 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 31
PLACE
9 13.5
11 20.5
12 48.5
QUINELLA
9,11 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 39
9,12 97.5
11,12 165
TIERCE
9,11,12 2,395
TRIO
9,11,12 631
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 4,923
QUARTET
9,11,12,1 53,432
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1/9 52
1/11 24.5