沙田 · 2020-01-27
第 11場
2020-01-27沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SUPER WEALTHY勝出，贏出1。BALLISTIC KING獲得亞軍；STAR LUCK獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門LUCKY MORE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY 1.09.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BALLISTIC KING S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 4 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | STAR LUCK H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 1 | 61.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 6 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 2.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ELIGERE CP1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 14 | 248.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | MERRYGOWIN B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 82.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 44.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | MR PICASSO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 218.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ALL IN MIND XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | PURE LEGEND C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 65.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER WISE H/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 64.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | COPARTNER SPIRIT H/XB H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 12 | 522.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 7 | 268.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MORE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 20.2% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ALL IN MIND | 17.6% | 5.67 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | BALLISTIC KING | 12.6% | 7.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 5.7% | 17.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 4.2% | 23.65 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | PURE LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.03 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | STAR LUCK | 2.0% | 50.72 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | MR PICASSO | 1.7% | 57.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | ELIGERE | 1.6% | 61.44 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER WISE | 1.1% | 91.33 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | MERRYGOWIN | 1.0% | 102.33 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 0.7% | 147.04 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.4% | 229.79 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 36.5
PLACE
2 13
3 30.5
14 96
QUINELLA
2,3 247
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 70.5
2,14 236
3,14 716.5
TIERCE
2,3,14 9,986
TRIO
2,3,14 2,987
FIRST 4
2,3,6,14 3,063
QUARTET
2,3,14,6 56,745
10TH DOUBLE
13/2 71
13/3 70
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,12,13/2,3,14 652,038
SIX UP
1,4/4,5,14/1,4/9,11/7,13/2,3 859
1/5,14/1/9/13/2 5,073
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/13/2 290
9/13/3 357