沙田 · 2020-01-27
第 3場
2020-01-27沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUNSHINE WARRIOR勝出，贏出1-3/4。RICH AND LUCKY獲得亞軍；FUN TIMES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR 後段發力 CP/TT 1.22.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | RICH AND LUCKY 後段發力 Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 1 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | FUN TIMES 後段發力 B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MISSION SMART 後段發力 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | WINNING TOGETHER 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 13 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | FAMILY LEADER 後段發力 B/H L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 12 | 139.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SKY TREASURE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 91.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE P-/B1 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 10 | 129.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | THE ABRAXAS B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 46.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | COOLCELEB B/TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 6 | 81.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B1/H1 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 23.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | SOCKET ELITE TT1 H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 3 | 468.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | CAMFORD MAGIC T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 8 | 629.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RICH AND LUCKY | 31.9% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FUN TIMES | 13.5% | 7.43 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | WINNING TOGETHER | 9.2% | 10.82 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 3.8% | 26.03 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | MISSION SMART | 3.8% | 26.19 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | THE ABRAXAS | 3.5% | 28.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION | 3.4% | 29.77 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | FAMILY LEADER | 2.8% | 35.31 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SKY TREASURE | 2.3% | 44.42 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE | 1.4% | 69.56 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | COOLCELEB | 1.4% | 70.70 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | SOCKET ELITE | 0.4% | 247.54 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | CAMFORD MAGIC | 0.4% | 255.96 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 13
2 15
7 13.5
QUINELLA
1,2 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 22.5
1,7 26.5
2,7 30.5
TIERCE
1,2,7 294
TRIO
1,2,7 56
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 144
QUARTET
1,2,7,6 2,113
2ND DOUBLE
3/1 102
3/2 16
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —