Sha Tin · 2020-01-27
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 4 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly B-/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 39.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | 11 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKING AIM Led early J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 123.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 14 | 168.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FALCON TURBO B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH V1 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE HULK XB/B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly J Spencer · K W Lui | J Spencer | K W Lui | 13 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION B/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 111.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 8 | 104.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ASSIMILATE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with SEATTLE CHOICE second and LOOKING GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 22.9% | 4.37 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | ASSIMILATE | 17.7% | 5.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 12.6% | 7.91 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.1% | 14.08 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD | 7.1% | 14.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.45 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | THE HULK | 5.1% | 19.45 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.2% | 23.69 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 4.1% | 24.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.0% | 49.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.3% | 75.00 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.1% | 92.22 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL | 0.8% | 127.70 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 31
PLACE
9 13.5
11 20.5
12 48.5
QUINELLA
9,11 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 39
9,12 97.5
11,12 165
TIERCE
9,11,12 2,395
TRIO
9,11,12 631
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 4,923
QUARTET
9,11,12,1 53,432
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/9 52
1/11 24.5