Sha Tin · 2020-03-01
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TOP SCORE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with PICKEN second and ULTIMATE GLORY third. The winner led throughout. The 1.5 favourite FARHH ABOVE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOP SCORE Wire to wire B/TT 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 42.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PICKEN Closed strongly C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 69.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING CITY P-/CP2/SR2 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 62.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | GOOD FOR YOU B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 79.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | FARHH ABOVE Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 1.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 11 | 165.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 401.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT1 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 14 | 140.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | ENDEARING B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 7 | 19.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | AMAZING LUCK B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 94.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FARHH ABOVE | 30.9% | 3.24 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL HEART | 22.7% | 4.40 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 8.7% | 11.46 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | PICKEN | 8.4% | 11.91 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | TOP SCORE | 4.4% | 22.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 4.4% | 22.89 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | ENDEARING | 4.3% | 23.01 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 4.0% | 24.76 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | GOOD FOR YOU | 3.3% | 30.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | SMILING CITY | 2.4% | 42.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | AMAZING LUCK | 2.2% | 46.34 | 14 |
| 12 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.1% | 48.03 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | PRANCE DRAGON | 1.7% | 60.15 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON | 0.5% | 186.42 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 426.5
PLACE
6 26
8 61
9 21.5
QUINELLA
8,9 1,177.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 336.5
6,9 108
8,9 255.5
TIERCE
8,9,6 26,172
TRIO
6,8,9 3,435
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 15,565
QUARTET
8,9,6,11 372,580
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 55.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
14/8 3,889.5
14/9 272.5