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Sha Tin · 2020-03-01

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER WEALTHY Closed strongly 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte 2 2.5 N
2 0 DECRYPT Closed strongly H1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 4.8 N
3 0 LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly C Schofield · D E Ferraris 14 18.0 1/2
4 0 BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 1 9.4 1-1/2
5 0 ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 6 33.0 1-3/4
6 0 TAKING AIM L Hewitson · J Moore 10 34.0 2
7 0 RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip 9 67.0 2-1/4
8 0 MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui 4 25.0 2-3/4
9 0 SUPER STAR Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard 12 14.0 3-3/4
10 0 FLASHCARD TT1 B Shinn · A S Cruz 3 58.0 4-1/2
11 0 GENEROUS CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 13 450.0 6
12 0 CORDYCEPS B M L Yeung · K W Lui 11 11.0 7-1/4
13 0 RAGING BLITZKRIEG Led early H H N Wong · J Size 5 101.0 7-3/4
14 0 GLORIOUS SPECTRUM XB1 N Callan · P F Yiu 7 6.2 14-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WEALTHY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with DECRYPT second and LOBO'S LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER WEALTHY—2. DECRYPT+0.05L3. LOBO'S LEGEND+0.5L4. BAND OF BROTHERS+1.5L5. ASSIMILATE+1.75L6. TAKING AIM+2L7. RACING FIGHTER+2.25L8. MONGOLIAN KING+2.75L9. SUPER STAR+3.75L10. FLASHCARD+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SUPER WEALTHY (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER WEALTHY 23.9% 4.19 1
2 0 SUPER STAR 20.1% 4.98 9
3 0 ASSIMILATE 8.5% 11.78 5
4 0 DECRYPT 8.3% 12.04 2
5 0 BAND OF BROTHERS 8.1% 12.41 4
6 0 GLORIOUS SPECTRUM 6.4% 15.63 14
7 0 MONGOLIAN KING 5.4% 18.67 8
8 0 LOBO'S LEGEND 4.8% 20.73 3
9 0 CORDYCEPS 3.7% 26.87 12
10 0 RAGING BLITZKRIEG 3.2% 31.50 13
11 0 RACING FIGHTER 2.6% 38.77 7
12 0 TAKING AIM 2.5% 39.22 6
13 0 FLASHCARD 2.0% 50.06 10
14 0 GENEROUS CHARITY 0.6% 164.61 11
SUPER WEALTHY — wonSUPER STARASSIMILATEDECRYPTBAND OF BROTHERSGLORIOUS SPECTRUMMONGOLIAN KINGLOBO'S LEGENDCORDYCEPSRAGING BLITZKRIEGRACING FIGHTERTAKING AIMFLASHCARDGENEROUS CHARITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 25.5

PLACE

1 17.5

7 13

13 45

QUINELLA

1,7 65

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 30

1,13 107

7,13 88.5

TIERCE

7,1,13 1,201

TRIO

1,7,13 343

FIRST 4

1,7,9,13 578

QUARTET

7,1,13,9 7,707

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 17

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,8,9/1,7,13 186,082

9TH DOUBLE

8/1 524

8/7 1,761.5

SIX UP

1,2/8,14/2,4/6,14/8,9/1,7 12,955

2/8/2/14/8/7 2,106,265

3 [C Schofield] —

TREBLE

14/8/1 5,642

14/8/7 18,804