Sha Tin · 2020-03-01
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WEALTHY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with DECRYPT second and LOBO'S LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY Closed strongly 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | DECRYPT Closed strongly H1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 13 | LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 14 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TAKING AIM L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 10 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER STAR Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FLASHCARD TT1 B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 3 | 58.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GENEROUS CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 13 | 450.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | CORDYCEPS B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG Led early H H N Wong · J Size | H N Wong | J Size | 5 | 101.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM XB1 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.2 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER STAR | 20.1% | 4.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | ASSIMILATE | 8.5% | 11.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | DECRYPT | 8.3% | 12.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM | 6.4% | 15.63 | 14 |
| 7 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING | 5.4% | 18.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 4.8% | 20.73 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | CORDYCEPS | 3.7% | 26.87 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 3.2% | 31.50 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.6% | 38.77 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | TAKING AIM | 2.5% | 39.22 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | FLASHCARD | 2.0% | 50.06 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 0.6% | 164.61 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
1 17.5
7 13
13 45
QUINELLA
1,7 65
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 30
1,13 107
7,13 88.5
TIERCE
7,1,13 1,201
TRIO
1,7,13 343
FIRST 4
1,7,9,13 578
QUARTET
7,1,13,9 7,707
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/1,7,13 186,082
9TH DOUBLE
8/1 524
8/7 1,761.5
SIX UP
1,2/8,14/2,4/6,14/8,9/1,7 12,955
2/8/2/14/8/7 2,106,265
3 [C Schofield] —
TREBLE
14/8/1 5,642
14/8/7 18,804