沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 10場
2020-03-01沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SUPER WEALTHY勝出，贏出N。DECRYPT獲得亞軍；LOBO'S LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY 後段發力 1.21.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | DECRYPT 後段發力 H1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 13 | LOBO'S LEGEND 後段發力 C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 14 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TAKING AIM L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 10 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER 後段發力 TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER STAR 後段發力 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FLASHCARD TT1 B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 3 | 58.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GENEROUS CHARITY 後段發力 B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 13 | 450.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | CORDYCEPS B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG 早段領放 H H N Wong · J Size | H N Wong | J Size | 5 | 101.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM XB1 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.2 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER STAR | 20.1% | 4.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | ASSIMILATE | 8.5% | 11.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | DECRYPT | 8.3% | 12.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM | 6.4% | 15.63 | 14 |
| 7 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING | 5.4% | 18.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 4.8% | 20.73 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | CORDYCEPS | 3.7% | 26.87 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 3.2% | 31.50 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.6% | 38.77 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | TAKING AIM | 2.5% | 39.22 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | FLASHCARD | 2.0% | 50.06 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 0.6% | 164.61 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
1 17.5
7 13
13 45
QUINELLA
1,7 65
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 30
1,13 107
7,13 88.5
TIERCE
7,1,13 1,201
TRIO
1,7,13 343
FIRST 4
1,7,9,13 578
QUARTET
7,1,13,9 7,707
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/1,7,13 186,082
9TH DOUBLE
8/1 524
8/7 1,761.5
SIX UP
1,2/8,14/2,4/6,14/8,9/1,7 12,955
2/8/2/14/8/7 2,106,265
3 [C Schofield] —
TREBLE
14/8/1 5,642
14/8/7 18,804