沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 3場
2020-03-01沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、A T Millard訓練的AMAZING CHOCOLATE勝出，贏出4-3/4。FAMILY LEADER獲得亞軍；SUPER WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門PERFECT PAIR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B2 1.21.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | FAMILY LEADER 後段發力 B/H L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 9 | 81.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER WINNER 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 3.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR 早段領放 H/CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 P-/B2/XB2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD 後段發力 H/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | PERFECT PAIR CP Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 9.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | STUNNING IMPACT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 99.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | BULLETPROOF M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP P K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | PRETTY BAUHINIA 後段發力 B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 43.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | FOREVER SHARP TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 92.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SO HAPPY B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 13 | 191.0 | 63 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PERFECT PAIR | 34.8% | 2.87 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER WINNER | 10.8% | 9.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | FOREVER SHARP | 8.3% | 12.08 | 13 |
| 5 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD | 6.6% | 15.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 5.9% | 16.84 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | BRIGHT KID | 5.8% | 17.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 5.2% | 19.41 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 3.8% | 26.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY | 3.4% | 29.02 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | BULLETPROOF | 2.5% | 39.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | FAMILY LEADER | 1.7% | 59.19 | 2 |
| 13 | 5 | STUNNING IMPACT | 0.9% | 110.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | SO HAPPY | 0.9% | 114.91 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 113.5
PLACE
7 35
12 13.5
14 134
QUINELLA
7,14 3,373
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 75
7,14 966
12,14 257.5
TIERCE
7,14,12 29,941
TRIO
7,12,14 2,735
FIRST 4
7,12,13,14 19,978
QUARTET
7,14,12,13 955,952
2ND DOUBLE
3,9/7 483.5
3,9/14 429
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 37
A1 —
A2 —