沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 8場
2020-03-01沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H W Lai策騎、K L Man訓練的E STAR勝出，贏出N。BALTIC SUCCESS獲得亞軍；HAPPY TIME獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門INNER FLAME跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | E STAR H 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 20.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | BALTIC SUCCESS XB-/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 104.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME XB/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | ALCARI B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONKEY JEWELLERY C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 13 | 80.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 2 | 110.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 3.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 98.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SHANGHAI GRACE H1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 469.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | INNER FLAME XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 2.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | SMART COUSIN M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 217.0 | 10 |
| — | 8 | KA YING LEGEND M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | INNER FLAME | 42.1% | 2.38 | 12 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 13.7% | 7.28 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 11.3% | 8.83 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | ALCARI | 7.4% | 13.53 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME | 6.9% | 14.53 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | E STAR | 4.2% | 23.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 2.7% | 36.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | SMART COUSIN | 2.7% | 37.04 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.4% | 41.09 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 1.9% | 52.52 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY TIME | 1.7% | 58.66 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 1.5% | 66.16 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 1.4% | 72.13 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 206
PLACE
6 25
13 154
14 32.5
QUINELLA
6,14 978.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,13 816
6,14 234.5
13,14 1,232.5
TIERCE
14,6,13 65,530
TRIO
6,13,14 13,177
FIRST 4
6,11,13,14 13,642
QUARTET
14,6,13,11 409,551
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 54
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
2/6 101
2/14 411.5