沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 5場
2020-03-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、K L Man訓練的EVER LAUGH勝出，贏出SH。SONIC FIGHTER獲得亞軍；MENAGGIO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門SONIC FIGHTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EVER LAUGH 後段發力 B/TT 1.35.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 9 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER 後段發力 B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | MENAGGIO 後段發力 H M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | FANTASTIC BOY 後段發力 B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS MATE 後段發力 M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WHO'S HORSE 早段領放 B/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 10 | 100.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | JIMMU SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HAPPY ICHIBAN P L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 70.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | JOY N FUN LEGEND 後段發力 CP1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 78.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND H-/B1 H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 14 | 228.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | INDIGENOUS STAR TT2 C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 2 | 19.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | SAVVY SEVEN B/TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 3 | 6.3 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 18.5% | 5.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | SAVVY SEVEN | 16.0% | 6.24 | 14 |
| 3 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 11.3% | 8.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER | 9.7% | 10.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 9.4% | 10.64 | 13 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 8.7% | 11.46 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | EVER LAUGH | 7.1% | 14.07 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | MENAGGIO | 6.3% | 15.80 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | FANTASTIC BOY | 3.7% | 27.02 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | JIMMU | 3.1% | 32.64 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 2.7% | 37.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | WHO'S HORSE | 1.6% | 61.56 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.0% | 99.35 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 0.9% | 114.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 44
PLACE
1 16
2 17.5
9 48.5
QUINELLA
1,2 85
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 34.5
1,9 108
2,9 178
TIERCE
2,1,9 2,921
TRIO
1,2,9 487
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 712
QUARTET
2,1,9,11 16,754
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 16.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 37
5/2 228.5