沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 6場
2020-03-01沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALLIED AGILITY勝出，贏出1/2。WAR OF COURAGE獲得亞軍；LARSON獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門WAR OF COURAGE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT1 0.56.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | WAR OF COURAGE M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | LARSON CP L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 10 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 11 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 6.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPECIAL STARS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | JUMBO ENGINE B1/XB1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 14 | 95.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOKO B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 47.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | GANESH TALAI SR1 H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 7 | 234.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA CP-/H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 322.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | CHIKORITA CP1/TT1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 9.1 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | SO GLORIOUS TT1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 346.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WAR OF COURAGE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 14.3% | 6.97 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | ALLIED AGILITY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SPECIAL STARS | 10.2% | 9.85 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | CHIKORITA | 9.8% | 10.21 | 13 |
| 6 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER | 5.5% | 18.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED | 4.6% | 21.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | JUMBO ENGINE | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | GOKO | 3.3% | 30.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | LARSON | 2.1% | 48.60 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | GANESH TALAI | 1.9% | 54.02 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.3% | 74.44 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA | 0.7% | 135.19 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.7% | 140.31 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 135.5
PLACE
8 31
11 57
14 13.5
QUINELLA
8,14 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 516.5
8,14 46
11,14 99
TIERCE
8,14,11 5,119
TRIO
8,11,14 892
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 1,333
QUARTET
8,14,11,1 39,886
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 37
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/8 699.5
2/14 21.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,2,9/8,11,14 1,306,811
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/1,2,9/Any Combination 393