沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 2場
2020-03-01沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的REGENCY GEM勝出，贏出HD。AMAZING AGILITY獲得亞軍；HURRICANE HUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | REGENCY GEM 一路領先 PC-/B2/TT 1.35.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 2.9 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 4.1 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER 後段發力 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | N |
| 4 | 14 | ROCKAGE 後段發力 B/H/XB/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 72.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LIVERBIRD STAR B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BRING IT ON TT C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 6 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | MONEY MARSHAL BO-/B2 L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 3 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | CHIU CHOW KID 後段發力 TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SOLAR BILLION B-/V1/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 84.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GOLDEN GENERAL CP H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 14 | 210.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | MONEY WINNER B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 3 | CHAPARRAL STAR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | REGENCY GEM | 32.7% | 3.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 12.7% | 7.90 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY | 11.0% | 9.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BRING IT ON | 7.9% | 12.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 7.8% | 12.81 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS | 6.9% | 14.44 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | MONEY WINNER | 5.6% | 17.76 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | CHIU CHOW KID | 4.3% | 23.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | ROCKAGE | 2.7% | 36.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | MONEY MARSHAL | 2.6% | 38.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 2.4% | 42.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SOLAR BILLION | 1.8% | 56.22 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 1.6% | 63.66 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 29.5
PLACE
1 53.5
5 17
9 13.5
QUINELLA
5,9 72
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 119.5
1,9 99.5
5,9 28.5
TIERCE
9,5,1 1,433
TRIO
1,5,9 359
FIRST 4
1,5,9,14 3,680
QUARTET
9,5,1,14 27,357
1ST DOUBLE
3/3,9 83.5
3/5 37
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —