沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 7場
2020-03-01沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CIRCUIT THREE勝出，贏出N。GUY DRAGON獲得亞軍；GIFT OF LIFELINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CIRCUIT THREE 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | GUY DRAGON 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 10 | GIFT OF LIFELINE 後段發力 B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 6.7 | N |
| 4 | 1 | SNAP FIT 後段發力 B/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | ALPHA HEDGE 後段發力 CP H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 129.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 B2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR 後段發力 P/TT N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 10 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | FLYING BONUS 早段領放 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PLANET STAR B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 73.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | FRESH POWER B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 156.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FORZA ANGEL B- K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 158.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | EVEN KEEL H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 409.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AWE B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | — | — | — |
| — | 12 | RELENTLESS ME A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CIRCUIT THREE | 27.5% | 3.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | GUY DRAGON | 21.4% | 4.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 14.6% | 6.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | SNAP FIT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | FLYING BONUS | 3.9% | 25.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.5% | 28.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.9% | 35.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 2.1% | 47.29 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | PLANET STAR | 1.9% | 53.07 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | FORZA ANGEL | 1.5% | 65.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | FRESH POWER | 1.3% | 75.00 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | EVEN KEEL | 0.5% | 195.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 11.5
4 13
10 20
QUINELLA
2,4 41.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 18.5
2,10 27
4,10 36
TIERCE
2,4,10 226
TRIO
2,4,10 64
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 127
QUARTET
2,4,10,1 1,129
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,11,14/2,4,10 10,004
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
6TH DOUBLE
8/2 283
8/4 104.5