Sha Tin · 2020-03-01
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 6.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | SNAP FIT Closed strongly B/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE Closed strongly CP H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 129.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly B2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly P/TT N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 10 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING BONUS Led early M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PLANET STAR B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 73.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FRESH POWER B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 156.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FORZA ANGEL B- K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 158.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | EVEN KEEL H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 409.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AWE B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RELENTLESS ME A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT THREE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with GUY DRAGON second and GIFT OF LIFELINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 27.5% | 3.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GUY DRAGON | 21.4% | 4.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 14.6% | 6.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SNAP FIT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 3.9% | 25.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.5% | 28.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.9% | 35.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 2.1% | 47.29 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PLANET STAR | 1.9% | 53.07 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | FORZA ANGEL | 1.5% | 65.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FRESH POWER | 1.3% | 75.00 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 0.5% | 195.77 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 11.5
4 13
10 20
QUINELLA
2,4 41.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 18.5
2,10 27
4,10 36
TIERCE
2,4,10 226
TRIO
2,4,10 64
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 127
QUARTET
2,4,10,1 1,129
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,11,14/2,4,10 10,004
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 13.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/2 283
8/4 104.5