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Sha Tin · 2020-03-01

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.51
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · K L Man 9 4.4 SH
2 0 SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan 6 3.6 SH
3 0 MENAGGIO Closed strongly H M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 16.0 1-1/2
4 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 12 6.1 1-1/2
5 0 FANTASTIC BOY Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So 5 44.0 1-1/2
6 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly M Chadwick · A T Millard 1 10.0 2
7 0 HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 11 10.0 2-1/4
8 0 WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT H W Lai · K H Ting 10 100.0 4
9 0 JIMMU SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 52.0 4-1/4
10 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN P L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 70.0 7
11 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly CP1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 7 78.0 7
12 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND H-/B1 H N Wong · D J Hall 14 228.0 9-1/4
13 0 INDIGENOUS STAR TT2 C Schofield · C W Chang 2 19.0 10-1/2
14 0 SAVVY SEVEN B/TT A Badel · J Moore 3 6.3 ML

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. EVER LAUGH, ridden by B Shinn and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with SONIC FIGHTER second and MENAGGIO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SONIC FIGHTER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVER LAUGH—2. SONIC FIGHTER+0.1L3. MENAGGIO+1.5L4. PARTY EVERYDAY+1.5L5. FANTASTIC BOY+1.5L6. RIGHTEOUS MATE+2L7. HAPPY WIN WIN+2.25L8. WHO'S HORSE+4L9. JIMMU+4.25L10. HAPPY ICHIBAN+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (18.5%) finished 4th — the winner EVER LAUGH was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 18.5% 5.40 4
2 0 SAVVY SEVEN 16.0% 6.24 14
3 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE 11.3% 8.87 6
4 0 SONIC FIGHTER 9.7% 10.34 2
5 0 INDIGENOUS STAR 9.4% 10.64 13
6 0 HAPPY WIN WIN 8.7% 11.46 7
7 0 EVER LAUGH 7.1% 14.07 1
8 0 MENAGGIO 6.3% 15.80 3
9 0 FANTASTIC BOY 3.7% 27.02 5
10 0 JIMMU 3.1% 32.64 9
11 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN 2.7% 37.17 10
12 0 WHO'S HORSE 1.6% 61.56 8
13 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND 1.0% 99.35 11
14 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND 0.9% 114.81 12
PARTY EVERYDAYSAVVY SEVENRIGHTEOUS MATESONIC FIGHTERINDIGENOUS STARHAPPY WIN WINEVER LAUGH — wonMENAGGIOFANTASTIC BOYJIMMUHAPPY ICHIBANWHO'S HORSEJOY N FUN LEGENDSWOT TROOPERS WIND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 44

PLACE

1 16

2 17.5

9 48.5

QUINELLA

1,2 85

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 34.5

1,9 108

2,9 178

TIERCE

2,1,9 2,921

TRIO

1,2,9 487

FIRST 4

1,2,9,11 712

QUARTET

2,1,9,11 16,754

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 16.5

A1 —

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

5/1 37

5/2 228.5