Sha Tin · 2020-03-01
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ALLIED AGILITY, ridden by K H Chan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with WAR OF COURAGE second and LARSON third. The 1.8 favourite WAR OF COURAGE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT1 0.56.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | WAR OF COURAGE M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | LARSON CP L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 10 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 11 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 6.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPECIAL STARS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | JUMBO ENGINE B1/XB1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 14 | 95.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOKO B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 47.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | GANESH TALAI SR1 H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 7 | 234.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA CP-/H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 322.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | CHIKORITA CP1/TT1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 9.1 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | SO GLORIOUS TT1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 346.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WAR OF COURAGE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 14.3% | 6.97 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | ALLIED AGILITY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SPECIAL STARS | 10.2% | 9.85 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | CHIKORITA | 9.8% | 10.21 | 13 |
| 6 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER | 5.5% | 18.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED | 4.6% | 21.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | JUMBO ENGINE | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | GOKO | 3.3% | 30.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | LARSON | 2.1% | 48.60 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | GANESH TALAI | 1.9% | 54.02 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.3% | 74.44 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA | 0.7% | 135.19 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.7% | 140.31 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 135.5
PLACE
8 31
11 57
14 13.5
QUINELLA
8,14 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 516.5
8,14 46
11,14 99
TIERCE
8,14,11 5,119
TRIO
8,11,14 892
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 1,333
QUARTET
8,14,11,1 39,886
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 37
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/8 699.5
2/14 21.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,2,9/8,11,14 1,306,811
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/1,2,9/Any Combination 393