Sha Tin · 2020-03-01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B2 1.21.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B/H L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 9 | 81.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 3.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR Led early H/CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly P-/B2/XB2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD Closed strongly H/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR CP Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 9.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 99.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLETPROOF M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP P K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 43.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FOREVER SHARP TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 92.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SO HAPPY B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 13 | 191.0 | 63 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING CHOCOLATE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A T Millard, won by 4-3/4, with FAMILY LEADER second and SUPER WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite PERFECT PAIR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 34.8% | 2.87 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 10.8% | 9.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FOREVER SHARP | 8.3% | 12.08 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD | 6.6% | 15.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 5.9% | 16.84 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 5.8% | 17.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 5.2% | 19.41 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 3.8% | 26.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 3.4% | 29.02 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 2.5% | 39.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 1.7% | 59.19 | 2 |
| 13 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 0.9% | 110.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | SO HAPPY | 0.9% | 114.91 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 113.5
PLACE
7 35
12 13.5
14 134
QUINELLA
7,14 3,373
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 75
7,14 966
12,14 257.5
TIERCE
7,14,12 29,941
TRIO
7,12,14 2,735
FIRST 4
7,12,13,14 19,978
QUARTET
7,14,12,13 955,952
2ND DOUBLE
3,9/7 483.5
3,9/14 429
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 37
A1 —