沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 4場
2020-03-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ETERNAL HARVEST勝出，贏出2。BELUGA獲得亞軍；XPONENTIAL獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門BELUGA跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ETERNAL HARVEST 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BELUGA Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | XPONENTIAL XB/B1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | BRAVE BABY B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY GRILL M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 185.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | CHARITY GRAND B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 8 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | DOUBLE TAKE N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 203.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SO AWESOME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 238.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | BABY STORM H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 9.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | COOL ACE CP K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | LUCKY VICTOR TT1 K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 1 | 159.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BELUGA | 25.7% | 3.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | ETERNAL HARVEST | 19.7% | 5.08 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 14.2% | 7.02 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 7.2% | 13.91 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARITY GRAND | 7.1% | 14.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | COOL ACE | 6.0% | 16.57 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 4.2% | 23.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE | 4.0% | 25.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS | 3.6% | 27.67 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | BABY STORM | 2.5% | 39.42 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | BRAVE BABY | 2.3% | 44.29 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | SPICY GRILL | 1.8% | 56.42 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | DOUBLE TAKE | 0.9% | 105.62 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | LUCKY VICTOR | 0.8% | 120.72 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 35
PLACE
1 19
3 15
5 13.5
QUINELLA
3,5 47
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 34
1,5 42
3,5 24.5
TIERCE
5,3,1 405
TRIO
1,3,5 79
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 328
QUARTET
5,3,1,10 4,504
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,12,14/1,3,5 87,981
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 95
7/5 518.5