沙田 · 2020-03-01
第 1場
2020-03-01沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的TRUST ME勝出，贏出3/4。ZERO HEDGE獲得亞軍；DECISIVE TWELVE獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門DECISIVE TWELVE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TRUST ME B 0.56.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 6 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | QIPAO BOSS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 53.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FIGHTER BOY K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SWEETLY BABY TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 164.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 3 | 205.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | TANG TREASURE TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 86.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER MISSION H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 13 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HEALTHY LUCK B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 12 | 6.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | M M JOHNNY B1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | STOCK LEGEND B/H1 A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 8 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | PRIME TIME H1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 350.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | ATHENA XB1/TT1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 10 | 164.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TRUST ME | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | FIGHTER BOY | 14.6% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ZERO HEDGE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | QIPAO BOSS | 7.1% | 14.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | M M JOHNNY | 6.5% | 15.27 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER MISSION | 6.5% | 15.28 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | PRIME TIME | 6.0% | 16.57 | 13 |
| 8 | 1 | HEALTHY LUCK | 5.7% | 17.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 5.7% | 17.66 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SWEETLY BABY | 5.6% | 17.70 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | STOCK LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.95 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | ATHENA | 2.4% | 42.28 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | TANG TREASURE | 2.3% | 42.59 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 0.9% | 105.48 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 38.5
PLACE
2 16
3 17
5 16.5
QUINELLA
2,3 84
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 32.5
2,5 37
3,5 40
TIERCE
3,2,5 599
TRIO
2,3,5 126
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 1,051
QUARTET
3,2,5,9 12,711
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —