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Sha Tin · 2020-03-22

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FULL POWER Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · R Gibson 7 6.9 SH
2 0 FAMILY LEADER Led early H-/B J Moreira · C Fownes 14 8.2 SH
3 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly CP-/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 9 2.4 2-1/4
4 0 GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR N Callan · D E Ferraris 4 8.8 3
5 0 DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly H K Teetan · C H Yip 5 12.0 3-1/2
6 0 FANTASTIC BOY Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So 12 21.0 3-1/2
7 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN Closed strongly P- M Chadwick · D J Whyte 3 174.0 4
8 0 JIMMU Closed strongly SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui 10 91.0 4-1/4
9 0 BABY STORM H/TT V Borges · L Ho 1 26.0 5-3/4
10 0 MENAGGIO Closed strongly H M F Poon · P F Yiu 13 15.0 5-3/4
11 0 SUNNY POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 9.6 6-3/4
12 0 INDIGENOUS STAR TT H W Lai · C W Chang 2 57.0 7
13 0 AMAZING LUCK B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan 8 21.0 11-3/4
14 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 11 425.0 19

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-22 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FULL POWER, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with FAMILY LEADER second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FULL POWER—2. FAMILY LEADER+0.1L3. PARTY EVERYDAY+2.25L4. GO BALLISTIC+3L5. DECISIVE ACTION+3.5L6. FANTASTIC BOY+3.5L7. HAPPY ICHIBAN+4L8. JIMMU+4.25L9. BABY STORM+5.75L10. MENAGGIO+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (29.4%) finished 3rd — the winner FULL POWER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 29.4% 3.41 3
2 0 FAMILY LEADER 13.7% 7.28 2
3 0 SUNNY POWER 13.2% 7.60 11
4 0 FULL POWER 10.4% 9.65 1
5 0 MENAGGIO 8.1% 12.30 10
6 0 GO BALLISTIC 5.5% 18.27 4
7 0 DECISIVE ACTION 5.3% 18.94 5
8 0 FANTASTIC BOY 3.5% 28.85 6
9 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN 2.5% 39.37 7
10 0 BABY STORM 2.4% 41.52 9
11 0 INDIGENOUS STAR 2.4% 42.47 12
12 0 JIMMU 1.6% 64.12 8
13 0 AMAZING LUCK 1.5% 65.39 13
14 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND 0.6% 158.71 14
PARTY EVERYDAYFAMILY LEADERSUNNY POWERFULL POWER — wonMENAGGIOGO BALLISTICDECISIVE ACTIONFANTASTIC BOYHAPPY ICHIBANBABY STORMINDIGENOUS STARJIMMUAMAZING LUCKJOY N FUN LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 69.5

PLACE

7 23.5

11 12.5

13 26.5

QUINELLA

7,13 329.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,11 39

7,13 112

11,13 54

TIERCE

7,13,11 1,875

TRIO

7,11,13 235

FIRST 4

1,7,11,13 565

QUARTET

7,13,11,1 16,399

1ST DOUBLE

12/7 320.5

12/13 136

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 26.5

A1 —