Sha Tin · 2020-03-22
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-22 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FULL POWER, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with FAMILY LEADER second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FULL POWER Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 7 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | FAMILY LEADER Led early H-/B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 8.2 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly CP-/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly H K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | FANTASTIC BOY Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY ICHIBAN Closed strongly P- M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 174.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 10 | 91.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BABY STORM H/TT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 1 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MENAGGIO Closed strongly H M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SUNNY POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 2 | 57.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | AMAZING LUCK B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 21.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | JOY N FUN LEGEND CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 425.0 | 19 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 29.4% | 3.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | FAMILY LEADER | 13.7% | 7.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | SUNNY POWER | 13.2% | 7.60 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | FULL POWER | 10.4% | 9.65 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | MENAGGIO | 8.1% | 12.30 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | GO BALLISTIC | 5.5% | 18.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION | 5.3% | 18.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | FANTASTIC BOY | 3.5% | 28.85 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 2.5% | 39.37 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | BABY STORM | 2.4% | 41.52 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 2.4% | 42.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | JIMMU | 1.6% | 64.12 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | AMAZING LUCK | 1.5% | 65.39 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 0.6% | 158.71 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 69.5
PLACE
7 23.5
11 12.5
13 26.5
QUINELLA
7,13 329.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 39
7,13 112
11,13 54
TIERCE
7,13,11 1,875
TRIO
7,11,13 235
FIRST 4
1,7,11,13 565
QUARTET
7,13,11,1 16,399
1ST DOUBLE
12/7 320.5
12/13 136
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26.5
A3 —