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Sha Tin · 2020-03-22

Race 8

4YO GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 2.00.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 2.00.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 1.7 N
2 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 11 290.0 N
3 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · K W Lui 1 3.3 3
4 0 SAVVY NINE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · J Moore 7 261.0 4
5 0 RELIABLE TEAM K C Leung · F C Lor 5 267.0 4-1/2
6 0 BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly XB/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum 12 19.0 4-3/4
7 0 DECRYPT Closed strongly H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor 14 121.0 5-1/4
8 0 AMAZING BEATS K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 2 45.0 8-1/4
9 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY XB-/H/TT1 N Callan · C Fownes 3 25.0 8-1/2
10 0 SUPER OASIS XB V Borges · F C Lor 4 38.0 9-1/2
11 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Led early B/TT J Moreira · J Size 8 6.6 11-1/2
12 0 STAR PERFORMANCE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 110.0 12-1/2
13 0 PRIVATE SECRETARY H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 13 71.0 15
14 0 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB H W Lai · P F Yiu 6 232.0 18-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-22 was 4YO over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with PLAYA DEL PUENTE second and MORE THAN THIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+0.05L3. MORE THAN THIS+3L4. SAVVY NINE+4L5. RELIABLE TEAM+4.5L6. BUTTERFIELD+4.75L7. DECRYPT+5.25L8. AMAZING BEATS+8.25L9. COLUMBUS COUNTY+8.5L10. SUPER OASIS+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick MORE THAN THIS (22.6%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MORE THAN THIS 22.6% 4.43 3
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 20.2% 4.95 1
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 14.6% 6.86 11
4 0 DECRYPT 8.4% 11.90 7
5 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY 7.4% 13.43 9
6 0 SUPER OASIS 7.4% 13.44 10
7 0 BUTTERFIELD 4.0% 24.73 6
8 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 3.3% 30.20 12
9 0 AMAZING BEATS 2.9% 34.65 8
10 0 WORLD FAMOUS 2.7% 37.53 14
11 0 RELIABLE TEAM 2.4% 41.43 5
12 0 PRIVATE SECRETARY 1.7% 59.40 13
13 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.2% 80.29 2
14 0 SAVVY NINE 1.1% 88.38 4
MORE THAN THISGOLDEN SIXTY — wonCHAMPION'S WAYDECRYPTCOLUMBUS COUNTYSUPER OASISBUTTERFIELDSTAR PERFORMANCEAMAZING BEATSWORLD FAMOUSRELIABLE TEAMPRIVATE SECRETARYPLAYA DEL PUENTESAVVY NINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 17.5

PLACE

1 12

3 11.5

6 223.5

QUINELLA

1,6 1,275.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 15

1,6 311.5

3,6 401

TIERCE

1,6,3 5,897

TRIO

1,3,6 614

FIRST 4

1,3,6,13 14,417

QUARTET

1,6,3,13 246,548

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 11.5

A2 —

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/1 27.5

5/6 750.5