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Sha Tin · 2020-03-22

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALL IN MIND Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz 5 6.5 SH
2 0 JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT G van Niekerk · F C Lor 6 2.8 SH
3 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT Closed strongly XB J Moreira · D J Whyte 1 5.8 SH
4 0 EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 7 33.0 1-1/4
5 0 TOP SCORE Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 10 30.0 1-1/4
6 0 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B K C Leung · J Moore 4 5.7 2-1/2
7 0 CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris 11 40.0 2-1/2
8 0 GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So 12 11.0 2-3/4
9 0 SUPERB DADDY C Wong · L Ho 14 96.0 3
10 0 GREAT TREASURE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui 2 37.0 3-1/2
11 0 BUNDLE OF DELIGHT M Chadwick · D J Hall 9 66.0 4-1/2
12 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Z Purton · P F Yiu 13 8.0 7
13 0 LA YAKFI TT1 V Borges · C S Shum 8 124.0 8-3/4
— 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE C Schofield · A T Millard — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ALL IN MIND, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with JOYFUL HEART second and GENERAL'S DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite JOYFUL HEART finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL IN MIND—2. JOYFUL HEART+0.1L3. GENERAL'S DELIGHT+0.1L4. EVER LAUGH+1.25L5. TOP SCORE+1.25L6. TAKE WHAT YOU NEED+2.5L7. CHARIZARD+2.5L8. GUY DRAGON+2.75L9. SUPERB DADDY+3L10. GREAT TREASURE+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick JOYFUL HEART (24.3%) finished 2nd — the winner ALL IN MIND was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JOYFUL HEART 24.3% 4.12 2
2 0 GUY DRAGON 12.6% 7.97 8
3 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT 10.7% 9.33 3
4 0 TOP SCORE 9.0% 11.10 5
5 0 ALL IN MIND 8.7% 11.55 1
6 0 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 7.9% 12.59 6
7 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 6.0% 16.67 12
8 0 EVER LAUGH 5.0% 19.84 4
9 0 GREAT TREASURE 3.9% 25.59 10
10 0 SUPERB DADDY 3.7% 26.75 9
11 0 CHARIZARD 2.9% 35.04 7
12 0 LA YAKFI 2.8% 35.39 13
13 0 BUNDLE OF DELIGHT 2.5% 40.13 11
JOYFUL HEARTGUY DRAGONGENERAL'S DELIGHTTOP SCOREALL IN MIND — wonTAKE WHAT YOU NEEDPRECISE EXPRESSEVER LAUGHGREAT TREASURESUPERB DADDYCHARIZARDLA YAKFIBUNDLE OF DELIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 65

PLACE

1 19.5

2 23.5

14 13

QUINELLA

2,14 93.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 74.5

1,14 39.5

2,14 39

TIERCE

2,14,1 1,558

TRIO

1,2,14 190

FIRST 4

1,2,12,14 1,177

QUARTET

2,14,1,12 30,215

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 19.5

A3 —

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/2 121

1/10,14 10.5