沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 9場
2020-03-22沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的ALL IN MIND勝出，贏出SH。JOYFUL HEART獲得亞軍；GENERAL'S DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門JOYFUL HEART跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ALL IN MIND 後段發力 H/XB/TT 1.21.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 14 | JOYFUL HEART 後段發力 CP/TT G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 6 | 2.8 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT 後段發力 XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.8 | SH |
| 4 | 12 | EVER LAUGH 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TOP SCORE 早段領放 B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 4 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | GUY DRAGON 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPERB DADDY C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 14 | 96.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 37.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | LA YAKFI TT1 V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 8 | 124.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 10 | GIFT OF LIFELINE C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | JOYFUL HEART | 24.3% | 4.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | GUY DRAGON | 12.6% | 7.97 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | TOP SCORE | 9.0% | 11.10 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | ALL IN MIND | 8.7% | 11.55 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 7.9% | 12.59 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.0% | 16.67 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | EVER LAUGH | 5.0% | 19.84 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.9% | 25.59 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.7% | 26.75 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | CHARIZARD | 2.9% | 35.04 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | LA YAKFI | 2.8% | 35.39 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 2.5% | 40.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 65
PLACE
1 19.5
2 23.5
14 13
QUINELLA
2,14 93.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 74.5
1,14 39.5
2,14 39
TIERCE
2,14,1 1,558
TRIO
1,2,14 190
FIRST 4
1,2,12,14 1,177
QUARTET
2,14,1,12 30,215
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 121
1/10,14 10.5