沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 4場
2020-03-22沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的TUNG WAH GLORY勝出，贏出3/4。TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得亞軍；HEZA BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門HEZA BEAUTY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TUNG WAH GLORY 後段發力 P 1.21.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TRIPLE TRIPLE 後段發力 N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E/V J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | PARTY GENIUS XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE 後段發力 H/V M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 280.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | CLASSIC POSH B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 2 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 5 | 93.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY REUNION V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 14 | 142.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MOON PEAKS 早段領放 B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 26.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 13.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HEZA BEAUTY | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 16.7% | 6.01 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | TUNG WAH GLORY | 12.7% | 7.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | PARTY GENIUS | 7.0% | 14.30 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.99 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 6.6% | 15.22 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 6.6% | 15.22 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | CLASSIC POSH | 5.5% | 18.08 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME | 4.7% | 21.24 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 4.7% | 21.31 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | MOON PEAKS | 3.7% | 26.74 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY REUNION | 3.1% | 32.51 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | TAILOR MADE | 0.8% | 121.54 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT | 0.6% | 157.11 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 74
PLACE
1 37
10 30.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
1,10 447.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 130
1,11 77
10,11 42
TIERCE
10,1,11 2,016
TRIO
1,10,11 248
FIRST 4
1,10,11,14 826
QUARTET
10,1,11,14 21,821
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,10/1,10,11 3,879
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 36
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 65
4/10 102.5