沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 1場
2020-03-22沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、L Ho訓練的BREEZE OF SPRING勝出，贏出SH。EVAN ALMIGHTY獲得亞軍；SO WE JOY獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門EVAN ALMIGHTY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 7 | 5.5 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | EVAN ALMIGHTY J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 12 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | SO WE JOY TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HARRIER JET CP-/B2/TT B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SKY SHOW Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MOTHER WISHES TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 6 | 229.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | FIGHTER BOY K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ERIN CENTENARY H1/TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 166.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GLENEALY PALS XB/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 354.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | FRESH POWER B/TT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 27.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SNORLAX V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 10 | 218.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | COOL ACE CP-/B1/H1 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 54.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY SHOW | 27.3% | 3.66 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | EVAN ALMIGHTY | 15.8% | 6.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 11.8% | 8.50 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | ERIN CENTENARY | 10.5% | 9.56 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.6% | 13.08 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | FIGHTER BOY | 6.4% | 15.70 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.1% | 16.45 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | HARRIER JET | 3.7% | 27.22 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | FRESH POWER | 3.2% | 31.74 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 3.1% | 32.57 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | COOL ACE | 2.3% | 43.62 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | SNORLAX | 1.1% | 91.75 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | MOTHER WISHES | 0.8% | 119.35 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | GLENEALY PALS | 0.5% | 209.65 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 55
PLACE
4 15.5
6 45.5
12 18
QUINELLA
4,12 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 132.5
4,12 36
6,12 153.5
TIERCE
12,4,6 2,713
TRIO
4,6,12 497
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 2,125
QUARTET
12,4,6,2 35,068
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23