沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 3場
2020-03-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GOOD LUCK FRIEND勝出，贏出1。YEE CHEONG PEGASUS獲得亞軍；COMPASSION SPIRIT獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門YEE CHEONG PEGASUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP 1.08.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHAIRMAN LO B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GALACTIC XB1 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | TELECOM MISSILE T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 14 | 225.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SPICY GRILL K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 192.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SWEETLY BABY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 48.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | BEST SMILE TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 30.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | APOLLOS BOW H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 389.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | TANG TREASURE B1/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 10 | 247.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | DASHING GRACE P-/B1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 572.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 28.3% | 3.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GALACTIC | 24.4% | 4.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 21.1% | 4.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SWEETLY BABY | 4.8% | 20.90 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.67 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CHAIRMAN LO | 4.2% | 23.57 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 3.0% | 33.70 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 2.4% | 41.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SPICY GRILL | 1.9% | 52.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | TELECOM MISSILE | 1.9% | 52.51 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | TANG TREASURE | 1.2% | 84.56 | 13 |
| 12 | 2 | BEST SMILE | 1.0% | 96.02 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | APOLLOS BOW | 0.7% | 147.21 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | DASHING GRACE | 0.4% | 223.33 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
4 13
7 28
10 11
QUINELLA
4,10 32
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 50
4,10 17
7,10 43
TIERCE
4,10,7 337
TRIO
4,7,10 78
FIRST 4
1,4,7,10 211
QUARTET
4,10,7,1 2,046
2ND DOUBLE
7/4 218.5
7/10 33
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —