沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 6場
2020-03-22沙田第6場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Hall訓練的LONDON HALL勝出，贏出3/4。ENRICHMENT獲得亞軍；WINNING DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門MORE THAN A HORSE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LONDON HALL 後段發力 B 2.00.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | ENRICHMENT 後段發力 B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 4 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING DELIGHT 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | MORE THAN A HORSE 後段發力 B/SR J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 10 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHAMPION SUPREME 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 9 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | STIMULATION 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | HIGH REV B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Hall | G van Niekerk | D J Hall | 8 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | TASHIDELEK CP-/B2/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 13 | 9.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GENEROUS CHARITY 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 277.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 203.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | CLEMENT LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 52.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | GIANT TURTLE 早段領放 SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 2 | 80.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SUPER FAST CP C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 18.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | HELLO DADDY B B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 11 | 147.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 21.5% | 4.64 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | WINNING DELIGHT | 15.2% | 6.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | HIGH REV | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | TASHIDELEK | 11.1% | 9.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 13 | LONDON HALL | 9.9% | 10.15 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 6.1% | 16.33 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | STIMULATION | 5.7% | 17.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 5.3% | 18.75 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | ENRICHMENT | 4.0% | 24.84 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER FAST | 3.9% | 25.33 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | GIANT TURTLE | 3.0% | 32.81 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | HELLO DADDY | 1.3% | 75.52 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 0.8% | 119.33 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 0.8% | 126.71 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 80.5
PLACE
2 25.5
5 16
13 26
QUINELLA
2,13 286.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 60.5
2,13 90.5
5,13 78.5
TIERCE
13,2,5 3,241
TRIO
2,5,13 411
FIRST 4
2,5,11,13 315
QUARTET
13,2,5,11 11,991
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 28.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
12/2 18
12/13 220.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,11/8,12,13/2,5,13 617,332
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,11/8,12,13/Any Combination 1,396