沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 8場
2020-03-22沙田第8場，4YO，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLDEN SIXTY勝出，贏出N。PLAYA DEL PUENTE獲得亞軍；MORE THAN THIS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY 後段發力 2.00.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 1.7 | N |
| 2 | 6 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE 後段發力 SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 11 | 290.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | MORE THAN THIS 後段發力 CP1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | SAVVY NINE 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 7 | 261.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | RELIABLE TEAM K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 267.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 XB/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 12 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | DECRYPT 後段發力 H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 14 | 121.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING BEATS K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | COLUMBUS COUNTY XB-/H/TT1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER OASIS XB V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 4 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY 早段領放 B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.6 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 110.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | PRIVATE SECRETARY H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 71.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 14 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 6 | 232.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MORE THAN THIS | 22.6% | 4.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 14.6% | 6.86 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | DECRYPT | 8.4% | 11.90 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 7.4% | 13.43 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 7.4% | 13.44 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD | 4.0% | 24.73 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 3.3% | 30.20 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | AMAZING BEATS | 2.9% | 34.65 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | WORLD FAMOUS | 2.7% | 37.53 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | RELIABLE TEAM | 2.4% | 41.43 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | PRIVATE SECRETARY | 1.7% | 59.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 1.2% | 80.29 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | SAVVY NINE | 1.1% | 88.38 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 12
3 11.5
6 223.5
QUINELLA
1,6 1,275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 15
1,6 311.5
3,6 401
TIERCE
1,6,3 5,897
TRIO
1,3,6 614
FIRST 4
1,3,6,13 14,417
QUARTET
1,6,3,13 246,548
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 11.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 27.5
5/6 750.5