沙田 · 2020-03-22
第 5場
2020-03-22沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI BRAVO勝出，贏出1-1/2。HAPPY TIME獲得亞軍；GLENEALY GENERALS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 54.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS G van Niekerk · C H Yip | G van Niekerk | C H Yip | 2 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 3 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HALL OF CHAMP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 9 | 403.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 253.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | THE WEATHERMAN H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 6 | 332.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER B/H V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 1 | 49.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 7 | 9.3 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 13 | 68.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 1 | STANLEY PARK H1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 11 | 252.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO | 34.9% | 2.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 17.0% | 5.87 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 12.5% | 8.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 9.5% | 10.49 | 12 |
| 5 | 5 | HALL OF CHAMP | 7.0% | 14.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | HAPPY TIME | 5.8% | 17.17 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 3.9% | 25.94 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 2.6% | 38.09 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 2.0% | 49.95 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 1.7% | 57.25 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 1.3% | 76.53 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON | 0.9% | 108.19 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | THE WEATHERMAN | 0.8% | 127.24 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 16
PLACE
8 15.5
12 11
13 84
QUINELLA
12,13 332
QUINELLA PLACE
8,12 19.5
8,13 262.5
12,13 108.5
TIERCE
12,13,8 1,491
TRIO
8,12,13 411
FIRST 4
3,8,12,13 755
QUARTET
12,13,8,3 9,085
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
10/12 140
10/13 569.5