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Sha Tin · 2020-03-22

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PING HAI BRAVO 1.09.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 4 1.6 1-1/2
2 0 HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · W Y So 10 54.0 1-1/2
3 0 GLENEALY GENERALS G van Niekerk · C H Yip 2 6.0 1-1/2
4 0 BEAUTY AMIGO B K C Leung · J Moore 3 28.0 1-3/4
5 0 HALL OF CHAMP M F Poon · D J Hall 5 17.0 2-1/4
6 0 HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 6.9 2-1/2
7 0 MARVEL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 9 403.0 2-1/2
8 0 GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 12 253.0 4-3/4
9 0 THE WEATHERMAN H N Wong · D J Whyte 6 332.0 5-1/2
10 0 BLOTTING PAPER B/H V Borges · R Gibson 1 49.0 6
11 0 BALTIC SUCCESS TT B Shinn · C S Shum 7 9.3 6
12 0 BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz 13 68.0 8
13 0 STANLEY PARK H1 T H So · L Ho 11 252.0 10

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PING HAI BRAVO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with HAPPY TIME second and GLENEALY GENERALS third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PING HAI BRAVO—2. HAPPY TIME+1.5L3. GLENEALY GENERALS+1.5L4. BEAUTY AMIGO+1.75L5. HALL OF CHAMP+2.25L6. HAPPY ALUMNI+2.5L7. MARVEL DRAGON+2.5L8. GOLDEN SPECTRUM+4.75L9. THE WEATHERMAN+5.5L10. BLOTTING PAPER+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PING HAI BRAVO (34.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PING HAI BRAVO 34.9% 2.87 1
2 0 HAPPY ALUMNI 17.0% 5.87 6
3 0 GLENEALY GENERALS 12.5% 8.00 3
4 0 BEAUTY LOYAL 9.5% 10.49 12
5 0 HALL OF CHAMP 7.0% 14.31 5
6 0 HAPPY TIME 5.8% 17.17 2
7 0 BALTIC SUCCESS 3.9% 25.94 11
8 0 BLOTTING PAPER 2.6% 38.09 10
9 0 STANLEY PARK 2.0% 49.95 13
10 0 BEAUTY AMIGO 1.7% 57.25 4
11 0 GOLDEN SPECTRUM 1.3% 76.53 8
12 0 MARVEL DRAGON 0.9% 108.19 7
13 0 THE WEATHERMAN 0.8% 127.24 9
PING HAI BRAVO — wonHAPPY ALUMNIGLENEALY GENERALSBEAUTY LOYALHALL OF CHAMPHAPPY TIMEBALTIC SUCCESSBLOTTING PAPERSTANLEY PARKBEAUTY AMIGOGOLDEN SPECTRUMMARVEL DRAGONTHE WEATHERMAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 16

PLACE

8 15.5

12 11

13 84

QUINELLA

12,13 332

QUINELLA PLACE

8,12 19.5

8,13 262.5

12,13 108.5

TIERCE

12,13,8 1,491

TRIO

8,12,13 411

FIRST 4

3,8,12,13 755

QUARTET

12,13,8,3 9,085

3 PICK 1

A1 16

A2 —

A3 —

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

10/12 140

10/13 569.5