Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 9.1 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE Closed strongly B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 6.5 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FARHH ABOVE Closed strongly XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL IN MIND Closed strongly H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 6 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH V-/E1 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 3 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 14 | 312.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WAR ROOM Closed strongly XB K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 13 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 1 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SINCERE BOY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 244.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER STAR TT1 V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 4 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MONICA B/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 2 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SIMPLE ELEGANT Led early V M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ASSIMILATE, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with RIGHT CHOICE second and FARHH ABOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FARHH ABOVE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FARHH ABOVE | 35.9% | 2.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 10.2% | 9.82 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL IN MIND | 9.7% | 10.27 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ASSIMILATE | 6.6% | 15.21 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR ROOM | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 5.7% | 17.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 5.0% | 20.17 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | MONICA | 4.7% | 21.12 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 4.5% | 22.45 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 3.8% | 26.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 3.1% | 31.93 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER STAR | 3.0% | 33.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SINCERE BOY | 0.9% | 107.15 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 0.5% | 205.84 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 91
PLACE
4 20.5
6 30.5
10 15.5
QUINELLA
4,6 316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 108
4,10 46
6,10 69.5
TIERCE
6,4,10 2,587
TRIO
4,6,10 301
FIRST 4
4,6,8,10 217
QUARTET
6,4,10,8 8,199
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/4,6,10 460,353
9TH DOUBLE
10/4 76
10/6 353
SIX UP
5/4/4/5/10/6 89,350
5,7/4,11/2,4/2,5/8,10/4,6 12,218
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/10/4 243
5/10/6 1,105