Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly TT 1.47.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 13 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL Closed strongly TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 11 | 75.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | INVALUABLE Closed strongly B K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 6 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly TT N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 10 | 74.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 7 | 95.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 14 | 152.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR CP/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 3 | 8.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.8 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SHINEALOT B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 12.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR B1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 58 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PERFECT TO PLAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with NATURAL STORM second and JIMMU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MCMUNIGAL finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 17.2% | 5.83 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 17.0% | 5.88 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 11.0% | 9.13 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 8.2% | 12.21 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | INVALUABLE | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 6.3% | 15.86 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 3.1% | 32.58 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 2.9% | 34.55 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 2.6% | 38.92 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | JIMMU | 2.4% | 41.95 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 2.1% | 47.43 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 2.0% | 50.17 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 1.4% | 70.93 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 64
PLACE
2 56
5 19
7 43
QUINELLA
5,7 494.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 215
2,7 429
5,7 183.5
TIERCE
5,7,2 8,133
TRIO
2,5,7 2,358
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 1,294
QUARTET
5,7,2,9 31,875
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
4/5 645.5
4/7 218